In June, Obama held a point lead as the candidate voters thought was more willing to work with leaders from the other party.
Similarly, Romney has made progress on the issues. He and Obama now run about even on dealing with health care, Medicare, foreign policy and taxes. Obama led on most of these issues by significant margins in September. Romney led by 14 points on the budget deficit in July, but had lost that advantage last month.
Swing voters also tend to rate Obama as the more consistent, honest and moderate candidate, and as a strong leader. Swing voters also favor Obama on the issues of health care, Medicare and foreign policy.
But Romney continues to hold a decided edge over Obama on jobs and the budget deficit. Romney also has gained ground with younger voters.
Criticism of Obama centers on his ability to improve the economy. Since September, Mitt Romney has made gains among women and younger voters, and has expanded his advantage among whites without a college degree. Last month, Obama led Romney by 18 points among women, and trailed among men by only two points.
Each sample includes a minimum quota of cell phone respondents and landline respondents per national adults, with additional minimum quotas among landline respondents by region. Landline telephone numbers are chosen at random among listed telephone numbers.
Cell phone numbers are selected using random-digit-dial methods. Landline respondents are chosen at random within each household on the basis of which member had the most recent birthday. Demographic weighting targets are based on the March Current Population Survey figures for the aged 18 and older non-institutionalized U. All reported margins of sampling error include the computed design effects for weighting.
In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.
For more details on Gallup's polling methodology, visit www. Seventy-four percent of U. Subscribe to the Gallup News brief and real time alerts.
Stay up to date with our latest insights. The U. Obama must now hope to reverse those with a resounding win of his own in at least one or both of the upcoming debates in New York and Florida. Sign up to get Election news stories from Gallup as soon as they are published. Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking Oct. Interviews are conducted with respondents on landline telephones and cellular phones, with interviews conducted in Spanish for respondents who are primarily Spanish-speaking.
Each sample includes a minimum quota of cell phone respondents and landline respondents per 1, national adults, with additional minimum quotas among landline respondents by region. Landline telephone numbers are chosen at random among listed telephone numbers. Cell phones numbers are selected using random digit dial methods. Landline respondents are chosen at random within each household on the basis of which member had the most recent birthday. Demographic weighting targets are based on the March Current Population Survey figures for the aged 18 and older non-institutionalized population living in U.
All reported margins of sampling error include the computed design effects for weighting and sample design. The questions reported here were asked of a random half-sample of respondents for seven nights on the Gallup Daily tracking survey. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls. Seventy-four percent of U.
Subscribe to the Gallup News brief and real time alerts. Stay up to date with our latest insights. Americans' economic confidence improved last week to the highest level since late May, adding to a surge that began in early September and has been driven largely by Democrats and independents.
In the Midwest, the battleground states are Iowa and Ohio. Despite the conventional wisdom that Obama will struggle in areas heavily inhabited by evangelicals and white ethnics, he is still doing surprisingly well in these two states.
Similarly, in Ohio, two recent polls showed Obama ahead, and in one of them , which was also carried out by P. Between them, these states have twenty-eight Electoral College votes, more than enough to put Obama over the winning line if he also holds on to all the states that John Kerry won in A recent Washington Post poll showed him leading Romney in Virginia by seven points: fifty-one per cent to forty-four per cent.
North Carolina appears tighter, but Obama also appears to be holding onto a slim lead there. A poll from Survey USA, the only one done in the past month, showed him with forty-seven per cent of the vote, and Romney with forty-three per cent. In Florida, the latest polls show the two candidates neck and neck.
Six months ago, Obama was trailing badly. His comeback is pretty encouraging for him, but many political professionals are still predicting a style cliffhanger. Hence the constant speculation about Romney picking local boy Marco Rubio as his running mate, which could also help with Hispanics nationally.
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